1. Macro Structure, Sentiment & Capital Flows

Market Sentiment & Strategy (MMS V2)

• Regime: RISK ON (Score: 0.40)
• MMS Score: 5.20
• Pattern: Consolidation
• Strategy Flag: WAIT
• Interpretation data states that the market is consolidating with no clear direction, and is described as waiting for breakout.
• Triggers:
  • Perp speculation warning
  • BTC dominance consolidation
  • Gold mixed signals

Context Metrics:

• USDT Dominance: sideways, -0.16%
• BTC Dominance: sideways, -0.07%
• ETH Dominance: sideways, +0.13%
• VIX: strong_up, at 18.65 with +18.65%
• SPX: sideways, +0.29%
• GOLD: sideways, +0.65%

Performance Metrics:

• NDX: +0.61%
• DOLLAR: -0.02%
• TOTAL 1 (large-cap crypto): +2.00%
• TOTAL 2 (mid-cap crypto): +2.17%
• TOTAL 3 (small-cap crypto): +1.81%
• BTC: +0.42%
• ETH: +0.96%

These values collectively describe a risk-on but consolidating environment, where crypto market caps (TOTAL 1–3) and ETH itself are positive on the day, while dominance metrics are sideways, and VIX is elevated and rising.

Alt Breadth (AB)

• Status: BULL
• Value: 1.09 (Powerlvl1)

Alt Breadth being BULL at 1.09 indicates that altcoins as a group are participating positively, with a modest power level classification (Powerlvl1), suggesting broad but not extreme alt participation.

Stablecoin Pressure (SPI)

• Status: BULL
• Value: -1.19

A BULL SPI with value -1.19 indicates that, per the dataset’s classification, stablecoin dynamics are supportive rather than restrictive, with the negative numeric value aligned with the “BULL” label in this framework.

Leverage Pressure (LPI)

• Status: MODERATE SHORT LEVERAGE
• Value: -0.70
• Funding: 2.8306%
• OI Δ: 0.25%

The LPI shows moderate short-side leverage (negative value -0.70) with elevated funding at 2.8306% and a small positive OI change (0.25%), indicating non-extreme but notable leverage conditions with a short-leaning label in this metric’s terminology.

OI Delta (OID)

• Status: NEUTRALLVL0
• Value: 0.24
• Align: 0.24

The OID is neutral with a small positive value (0.24), and “Align” matches at 0.24, indicating modest but non-directional open interest change in this framework.

FOP Index

• Status: NEUTRAL
• Value: 0.16
• Fund: 2.83
• OI: 0.25%
• P: 0.96%

The FOP Index is neutral at 0.16, with:
– Funding component 2.83
– OI component 0.25%
– Price component 0.96%

This combination describes balanced futures & options conditions without a strong tilt in this composite.

Dominance Price Conflict (DPC)

• Status: NEUTRAL
• Value: -0.23

A NEUTRAL DPC at -0.23 indicates no strong conflict between dominance shifts and price behavior in this metric’s terms.

Crypto Equity Weight (CEW)

• Status: CORRELATED
• Value: 1.00

A CEW of 1.00 labeled CORRELATED indicates that crypto and equity behavior in this framework are fully aligned at the moment, with no decoupling signal.

ETH ETF Dashboard

Daily Flow Table:

Key observations:

• Latest flow (2026-07-20): +$37.1M, with Δ% listed as None%, indicating no comparative change value provided for that day.
• Over the last week:
  • Four positive flow days: +58.3M, +49.9M, +36.7M, +37.1M
  • Two negative flow days: -15.4M, -28.0M
  • One earlier positive day: +18.4M
• The Δ% column shows large swings (e.g., 278.21%, -176.29%, 219.48%), indicating high variability in ETF flow momentum from day to day.

Overall, ETF data show net positive flows on more days than negative, with sizeable day-to-day volatility in flow intensity.

2. Price Structure, Trend, Support/Resistance & Volatility

Live Price and Key Levels

• Live ETHUSDT Price: $1,922.80

Support & Resistance

• Current price $1,922.80 sits:
  • Below R1 ($1,936.00) and R2 ($1,968.00) and R3 ($2,019.00)
  • Above S1 ($1,854.00), S2 ($1,803.00), and S3 ($1,771.00)

TTM Squeeze

• 1W TTM Squeeze: active

An active weekly TTM Squeeze indicates that, in this framework, volatility compression is present on the weekly timeframe, with the metric signaling a coiled volatility state.

Japanese Candlestick Patterns

• 1D Pattern: Morning Bull at $1,862.61, 3 bars ago

The dataset identifies a Morning Bull pattern on the daily chart three bars ago, with a reference price of $1,862.61, indicating that this pattern is historically recorded and now three daily candles in the past.

Trend (4H Timeframe)

• Trend: Uptrend (HH + HL)

4H swing structure:

The 4H data show higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) after a prior lower low (LL) at $1,750.20, forming an uptrend on this timeframe.

Trend (1D Timeframe)

• Trend: Uptrend (HH + HL) (swing structure)

Daily swing structure:

The daily swing labels show recent higher high at $1,946.52 and higher low at $1,512.00 relative to the prior $1,505.68 LL, indicating an uptrending swing structure, even as EMAs (discussed later) still classify the macro as bearish.

Fibonacci Levels (4H)

Using the 4H swing from $1,750.20 (0%) to $1,946.52 (100%):

Current price $1,922.80 is:
– Below 100% ($1,946.52)
– Above 78.6% ($1,904.51)

Fibonacci Levels (1D)

Using the daily swing from $1,505.68 (0%) to $2,021.50 (100%):

Current price $1,922.80 is:
– Above 78.6% ($1,911.11)
– Below 100% ($2,021.50)

Volume & Volatility – 4H Technical Stats

4H Technical Stats (Last 2 candles):

Individual indicator context:

• Price (Open/High/Low/Close): All up vs previous 4H, with +1.15% close increase.
• Volume: +79.37% increase to 39,390.33, indicating much higher traded volume on the latest 4H candle.
• ATR: Slightly higher (+0.88%), showing modestly increased intrabar range.
• MACD / Signal / Histogram: All rising strongly (+22.17%, +16.09%, +34.90%), indicating strengthening momentum in this metric.
• Bollinger Bands:
  • Midline up (+0.22%)
  • Upper band up (+0.54%)
  • Lower band slightly down (-0.11%)
  • Bandwidth up (+15.47%), indicating expanding volatility envelope.
• ADX: 17.89, up +9.29%, indicating slightly strengthening trend but still in a low-to-moderate trend strength zone.
• +DI vs -DI:
  • +DI up to 27.26 (+18.02%)
  • -DI down to 12.35 (-7.96%)
    This shows increasing dominance of upward directional movement in this metric.
• Supertrend:
  • Value 1838.16, down from 1906.96
  • SUPERTREND-DIR flipped from -1 to 1, a directional state change in this indicator.
• VWAPs:
  • DVWAP: 1918.69, +1.76%
  • WVWAP: 1889.68, +0.22%
  • MVWAP: 1788.97, +0.06%
    All three are rising, indicating upward shift in volume-weighted price references.
• CMF (0.30, +18.59%): Indicates stronger positive money flow in this metric.
• CCI (206.67, +22.96%): Elevated and rising, indicating strong positive deviation from mean in this framework.
• MASSI (24.36, +0.65%): Slightly higher, maintaining trend-change monitoring levels.
• CHOP (49.23, -7.28%): Decreasing, indicating less choppy, more directional behavior compared to prior candle.
• ZSCORE20 (2.42, +27.39%): Higher positive z-score, indicating price is further above its 20-period mean in this metric.
• HV (10.14, +6.51%) & HV% (2.76, +124.39%): Both rising, with HV% more than doubling, indicating recent realized volatility has increased on this timeframe.

Volume & Volatility – 1D Technical Stats

1D Technical Stats (Last 2 candles):

Individual indicator context:

• Price & Volume:
  • Daily close up 1.74% to $1,904.77 vs prior $1,872.23.
  • Volume up 88.43% to 271,195.63, indicating significantly higher daily trading activity.
• ATR: Slightly higher (+0.48%), indicating marginally larger daily ranges.
• MACD & Signal: Both rising (+8.26%, +12.82%), while MACD histogram is slightly down (-0.58%), indicating momentum remains positive but its incremental acceleration has marginally cooled in this metric.
• Bollinger Bands:
  • Midline up (+0.93%)
  • Upper band slightly down (-0.33%)
  • Lower band up (+2.46%)
  • Bandwidth down (-14.57%), indicating narrowing volatility envelope on the daily timeframe.
• ADX (22.66, +0.79%): Indicates a moderate trend strength, slightly stronger than prior day.
• +DI up (25.55, +9.17%) and -DI down (15.34, -7.58%): This metric shows directional movement favoring the upside.
• Supertrend:
  • Value 1676.82, slightly higher (+0.26%)
  • SUPERTREND-DIR remains 1, indicating no directional flip in this indicator.
• VWAPs: All three (DVWAP, WVWAP, MVWAP) rising, indicating upward shift in volume-weighted baselines.
• CMF (0.19, +33.61%): Indicates stronger positive capital flow in this metric.
• CCI (114.19, +16.34%): Positive and rising, indicating continued positive deviation from mean.
• MASSI (24.31, -1.07%): Slightly lower, but still in a trend-monitoring zone.
• CHOP (57.45, -0.73%): Slightly lower, indicating marginally less choppy conditions but still relatively range-aware.
• ZSCORE20 (1.44, +36.94%): Higher positive z-score, indicating price is further above its 20-day mean.
• HV (44.63, -4.92%) & HV% (14.90, -20.28%): Both declining, indicating recent realized volatility has eased on the daily timeframe, even as 4H HV has risen.

Global Liquidations

• Global Liquidations: No significant volatility peaks detected (24h)

This indicates that, within the dataset, no large liquidation-driven volatility spikes have been recorded in the last 24 hours.

3. Trend Tools, EMAs, Volume Profile & Structural Levels

EMA Price Distance – 4H

Current price $1,922.80 is:
– Above all 4H EMAs, with the largest distance to EMA 200 (+7.13%) and smallest to EMA 8 (+1.36%).

EMA Levels & Slope – 4H

• All 4H EMAs have positive slopes, with shorter EMAs (8, 20) rising faster than longer ones.
• Trend classification: Bullish (20 > 50)
• Macro classification (4H): Bullish (50 > 200)

EMA Price Distance – 1D

Current price $1,922.80 is:
– Above EMA 8, 20, 50
– Below EMA 200 by 12.64%

EMA Levels & Slope – 1D

• Shorter EMAs (8, 20, 50): Upward slopes
• Longer EMAs (100, 200): Slightly negative slopes
• Trend classification: Bearish (20 < 50)
• Macro classification: Bearish (50 < 200)

This shows a shorter-term recovery above short EMAs, while longer-term EMAs still slope down and classify the macro as bearish.

Volume Profile – 4H

• Current price $1,922.80 is above POC ($1,784.38) and above VAH ($1,845.18), indicating trading above the 4H value area in this profile.

Volume Profile – 1D

• Current price $1,922.80 is:
  • Below POC ($2,298.09) and below VAH ($2,381.50)
  • Above VAL ($1,755.91)

This places ETH within the daily value area but below the high-volume price cluster around $2,298+.

Naked Point of Control (NPOC) – 4H

• Current price $1,922.80 is:
  • Near but below the NPOC at $1,931.95
  • Above the NPOC at $1,830.88
  • Below higher NPOCs at $2,031.62–$2,236.49

Naked Point of Control (NPOC) – 1D

• Current price $1,922.80 is below this daily NPOC at $2,224.66.

LTLB Structure – 4H

The Last Top at $1,946.52 is 1.02% above current price, and the Last Bottom at $1,843.14 is 4.54% below, indicating recent swing extremes are relatively close in percentage terms.

LTLB Structure – 1D

On the daily timeframe, the Last Top and Last Bottom are slightly further from current price in percentage terms than on 4H, but still relatively close.

4. Orderflow, Derivatives, Correlation & Smart Money Concepts

BTC Correlation (4H)

• Correlation 0.92 indicates strong positive co-movement with BTC in this metric.
• Beta 0.81 indicates ETH’s move magnitude is 0.81x BTC’s in this framework.
• Expected Move 0.39% vs Actual +0.77% indicates ETH has moved more than expected in this period.
• Lag Signal: JA and Catch-up Probability 92.2% are metric-specific outputs indicating strong statistical coupling in this model.

(Note: The same BTC correlation block is also provided under the 1D section with identical values, reinforcing the same correlation context.)

Orderflow & CVD Analysis – 4H

Recent 4H Delta Flow:

• Rising CVD Trend with positive Net Delta ($23.27M) and slightly buy-heavy ratio (51.5% vs 48.5%) indicates net positive aggressive flow in this metric over the observed 4H window.
• The “Consistent” CVD Divergence label indicates no flagged divergence in this 4H dataset.

Orderflow & CVD Analysis – 1D

Recent Daily Delta Flow:

• Falling CVD Trend with negative Net Delta (-$32.89M) and slightly sell-heavy ratio (51.3% vs 48.7%) indicates net negative aggressive flow over the broader daily window.
• The dataset explicitly flags “Bearish Divergence (Price Up, CVD Down – Exhaustion)”, meaning price has risen while cumulative delta has fallen in this metric.

Open Interest & Funding Analysis – 4H

Recent 4H OI/Funding Flow:

• OI up 0.95% over 24h, with small fluctuations between 2.301M–2.333M.
• Funding remains very low and positive, with Latest Funding slightly above Avg Funding.
• Market State: Neutral, indicating no extreme leverage imbalance in this metric.

Open Interest & Funding Analysis – 1D

Recent Daily OI/Funding Flow:

• Daily OI change is modest (+0.17%), with OI oscillating around 2.28M–2.31M.
• Funding remains low positive, with Latest Funding slightly below Avg Funding.
• Neutral market state again indicates balanced derivatives conditions in this metric.

Leverage Pressure (LPI) – Revisited in Derivatives Context

• LPI Value: -0.70 (MODERATE SHORT LEVERAGE)
• Funding: 2.8306%
• OI Δ: 0.25%

This metric’s classification of moderate short leverage coexists with neutral OI/Funding market state and small OI changes, describing non-extreme but present leverage dynamics.

Smart Money Concepts (SMC)

• FVG (Fair Value Gap): 2.1% (Support) @ $1,886.59
• Events: No Signals

The dataset identifies a 2.1% Fair Value Gap labeled as Support at $1,886.59, with no additional SMC events flagged.

5. Oscillators, Divergences, Correlations & Additional Structure

Oscillator Scanner

• 1H:
  • RSI 64.9
  • Stoch 89.6
  • MFI 85.5
    Indicates strong positive momentum and high money flow on the hourly timeframe.
• 4H:
  • RSI 70.1
  • Stoch 97.9
  • MFI 85.5
    Indicates strong positive momentum and elevated money flow on 4H.
• 1D:
  • RSI 62.4
  • Stoch 82.1
  • MFI 54.9
    Indicates positive but less extreme momentum and moderate money flow.
• 1W:
  • RSI 41.0
  • Stoch 38.2
  • MFI 50.4
    Indicates neutral-to-soft momentum on the weekly timeframe.

Divergences

• 4H Div: No Signals
• 1D Divergences:
  • 16-07-26 | Bearish : OBV

The daily data flags a bearish OBV divergence on 16-07-26, indicating that On-Balance Volume did not confirm price behavior at that time in this metric.

BTC Correlation – Reiterated (1D Section)

The same correlation block is repeated under 1D:

• Correlation (Pearson): 0.92
• Beta: 0.81
• Expected Move: 0.39%
• Actual vs Expected: +0.77%
• Lag Signal: JA
• Catch-up Probability: 92.2%

This reiteration confirms strong, consistent ETH–BTC co-movement across the dataset’s correlation view.

Conclusion

ETHUSDT at $1,922.80 is situated in a consolidation regime with:

• Short- and medium-term uptrend structures on 4H and daily swings,
• Bullish 4H EMAs and bearish long-term daily EMAs,
• Rising activity in both volume and shorter-term volatility (4H HV, HV%) while daily realized volatility has eased,
• Neutral derivatives conditions by OI/Funding, alongside moderate short leverage in LPI,
• Mixed orderflow signals, with 4H CVD rising and 1D CVD falling with a flagged bearish divergence,
• Positive ETF flows on more days than negative, with high variability in flow intensity,
• Strong correlation to BTC (0.92) and full crypto–equity correlation (CEW 1.00).

The overall dataset describes an ETH market that is active, structurally constructive on lower timeframes, still corrective on higher EMAs, and internally mixed in flow and divergence metrics, all within a risk-on but consolidating macro context.

Scenario Overview: Multiple Conditional Market States (Data-Based, Non-Probabilistic)

The following scenarios are conditional descriptions derived solely from the data above. They do not assign probabilities, preferences, or expectations and do not introduce new signals.

Scenario 1: Consolidation Persists Around Current Range

This scenario is consistent with:

• MMS Pattern: consolidation and Strategy: WAIT
• Support & Resistance clustering between S1 $1,854 and R2 $1,968
• Daily Bollinger Bandwidth decline (0.16, -14.57%), indicating narrowing daily volatility
• CHOP values on both 4H (49.23) and 1D (57.45) remaining in range-aware territory
• Neutral OI/Funding market state and NEUTRAL OID (0.24)

Conditional State:
If price continues to oscillate between nearby support ($1,854–$1,803) and resistance ($1,936–$1,968) while daily volatility bands remain relatively narrow and derivatives metrics (OI, funding, OID, FOP) stay neutral, the market would remain in a consolidation regime with range-bound structure as described by the current data.

Scenario 2: Short-Term Strength Extends Within a Still-Bearish Macro EMA Context

This scenario is consistent with:

• 4H Uptrend (HH + HL) and bullish EMA stack (20 > 50, 50 > 200) with all 4H EMAs sloping up
• Daily price above EMA 8, 20, 50, but below EMA 200 and with EMA 100 & 200 sloping slightly down
• Rising 4H MACD, ADX, +DI and falling -DI, plus 4H CMF 0.30 and CCI 206.67
• Alt Breadth BULL (1.09) and Stablecoin Pressure BULL (-1.19)
• Positive ETF flows on most recent days

Conditional State:
If 4H trend metrics (EMAs, MACD, ADX, CMF, CCI) remain constructive and price holds above 4H EMAs and the FVG support at $1,886.59, while daily EMAs 100 and 200 continue to slope slightly down and remain above price, ETH would remain in a state where short-term strength coexists with a still-bearish macro EMA backdrop, reflecting a recovery phase within a longer-term corrective environment.

Scenario 3: Flow-Based Exhaustion Plays Out Against Structural Supports

This scenario is consistent with:

• Daily CVD Trend falling and Net Delta -$32.89M, with bearish divergence (Price Up, CVD Down – Exhaustion) flagged
• Bearish OBV divergence on 16-07-26
• LPI: MODERATE SHORT LEVERAGE (-0.70) and elevated funding (2.8306%) in that metric’s context
• Support levels at S1 $1,854, S2 $1,803, S3 $1,771
• 4H Volume Profile POC at $1,784.38 and VAH at $1,845.18
• FVG Support at $1,886.59

Conditional State:
If the daily bearish CVD and OBV divergences continue and short leverage pressure remains moderate, while price interacts with nearby supports (FVG at $1,886.59, S1 $1,854, 4H VAH/POC), the market would be in a state where flow-based exhaustion signals are being tested against structural support zones identified in the current dataset.

Scenario 4: High Correlation Environment with BTC and Equities Continues

This scenario is consistent with:

• BTC Correlation (Pearson 0.92, Beta 0.81) and Catch-up Probability 92.2%
• Crypto Equity Weight (CEW) = 1.00 (CORRELATED)
• MMS Regime: RISK ON, with NDX +0.61%, TOTAL 1–3 all positive, and ETH +0.96%
• VIX strong_up (+18.65%) and SPX sideways (+0.29%)

Conditional State:
If ETH maintains a high correlation to BTC (0.92) and to equities (CEW 1.00) while macro risk indicators (VIX, SPX, NDX) remain in similar states and TOTAL market caps stay positive or sideways, ETH would remain in a highly coupled environment, where its behavior is closely aligned with broader crypto and equity indices as described by the current data.

Scenario 5: Volatility Expansion from Weekly Squeeze with Mixed Timeframe Volatility Signals

This scenario is consistent with:

• 1W TTM Squeeze: active, indicating weekly volatility compression
• 4H HV and HV% rising (HV 10.14, +6.51%; HV% 2.76, +124.39%)
• 1D HV and HV% falling (HV 44.63, -4.92%; HV% 14.90, -20.28%)
• Bollinger Bandwidth 4H rising (0.05, +15.47%) and 1D Bandwidth falling (0.16, -14.57%)

Conditional State:
If weekly squeeze conditions persist while 4H volatility (HV, Bollinger bandwidth) continues to expand and daily volatility metrics remain compressed, ETH would be in a state where shorter-term volatility is increasing inside a longer-term compressed regime, as captured by the current TTM Squeeze and volatility statistics.

Summary Report: ETHUSDT Market Structure Snapshot

Market Context & Sentiment

• Price: $1,922.80
• MMS Regime: RISK ON, Score 5.20, Pattern: consolidation, Strategy flag: WAIT
• Dominance:
  • USDT DOM: sideways (-0.16%)
  • BTC DOM: sideways (-0.07%)
  • ETH DOM: sideways (+0.13%)
• Macro Risk:
  • VIX: 18.65, strong_up (+18.65%)
  • SPX: sideways (+0.29%)
  • GOLD: sideways (+0.65%)
• Performance:
  • TOTAL 1: +2.00%, TOTAL 2: +2.17%, TOTAL 3: +1.81%
  • BTC: +0.42%, ETH: +0.96%

Alt Breadth (AB) is BULL (1.09) and Stablecoin Pressure (SPI) is BULL (-1.19), indicating broad alt participation and supportive stablecoin dynamics in this framework.

Trend & Structure

• 4H Trend: Uptrend (HH + HL) with price above all 4H EMAs:
  • EMA 8: $1,897.02 (+1.36%)
  • EMA 20: $1,879.86 (+2.28%)
  • EMA 50: $1,855.10 (+3.65%)
  • EMA 200: $1,794.91 (+7.13%)
  • All 4H EMA slopes positive, Trend: Bullish (20 > 50), Macro (4H): Bullish (50 > 200)
• 1D Trend: Swing structure labeled Uptrend (HH + HL), but EMAs show:
  • Price above EMA 8, 20, 50, below EMA 200:
    • EMA 8: $1,861.00 (+3.32%)
    • EMA 20: $1,810.91 (+6.18%)
    • EMA 50: $1,819.06 (+5.70%)
    • EMA 200: $2,200.98 (-12.64%)
  • EMA 8/20/50 slopes positive, EMA 100/200 slopes slightly negative
  • Trend classification: Bearish (20 < 50), Macro: Bearish (50 < 200)

Key Levels:

• Support & Resistance:
  • R3: $2,019, R2: $1,968, R1: $1,936
  • S1: $1,854, S2: $1,803, S3: $1,771
• Fibonacci (1D): Price sits between 78.6% ($1,911.11) and 100% ($2,021.50) of the swing.
• Volume Profile 4H:
  • POC: $1,784.38, VAH: $1,845.18, VAL: $1,723.57
  • Price is above 4H VAH, trading above recent value area.
• Volume Profile 1D:
  • POC: $2,298.09, VAH: $2,381.50, VAL: $1,755.91
  • Price is within daily value area but below POC.
• NPOCs (4H): $1,830.88, $1,931.95, $2,031.62, $2,071.38, $2,107.48, $2,236.49
  • Price is between $1,830.88 and $1,931.95.
• NPOC (1D): $2,224.66 (above current price).
• SMC FVG Support: 2.1% gap at $1,886.59.

Momentum, Volatility & Oscillators

4H Technicals:

• Price: Last 4H close $1,926.75 (+1.15%) vs prior.
• Volume: +79.37% to 39,390.33.
• ATR: 24.98 (+0.88%).
• MACD: 14.59 (+22.17%), Signal 9.39 (+16.09%), Histogram 5.21 (+34.90%).
• Bollinger Bands: Mid $1,871.33, Upper $1,917.12, Lower $1,825.54, Bandwidth 0.05 (+15.47%).
• ADX: 17.89 (+9.29%), +DI 27.26 (+18.02%), -DI 12.35 (-7.96%).
• Supertrend: 1838.16, direction flipped from -1 to 1.
• CMF: 0.30 (+18.59%), CCI: 206.67 (+22.96%).
• CHOP: 49.23 (-7.28%).
• ZSCORE20: 2.42 (+27.39%).
• HV: 10.14 (+6.51%), HV%: 2.76 (+124.39%).

1D Technicals:

• Price: Last daily close $1,904.77 (+1.74%).
• Volume: +88.43% to 271,195.63.
• ATR: 70.66 (+0.48%).
• MACD: 41.38 (+8.26%), Signal 28.45 (+12.82%), Histogram 12.93 (-0.58%).
• Bollinger Bands: Mid $1,800.92, Upper $1,945.56, Lower $1,656.28, Bandwidth 0.16 (-14.57%).
• ADX: 22.66 (+0.79%), +DI 25.55 (+9.17%), -DI 15.34 (-7.58%).
• CMF: 0.19 (+33.61%), CCI: 114.19 (+16.34%).
• CHOP: 57.45 (-0.73%).
• ZSCORE20: 1.44 (+36.94%).
• HV: 44.63 (-4.92%), HV%: 14.90 (-20.28%).

Oscillators:

• 1H: RSI 64.9, Stoch 89.6, MFI 85.5.
• 4H: RSI 70.1, Stoch 97.9, MFI 85.5.
• 1D: RSI 62.4, Stoch 82.1, MFI 54.9.
• 1W: RSI 41.0, Stoch 38.2, MFI 50.4.

TTM Squeeze:

• 1W: Active, indicating weekly volatility compression.

Candlestick Pattern:

• 1D: Morning Bull at $1,862.61, 3 bars ago.

Orderflow, Derivatives & Correlation

4H Orderflow:

• CVD Trend: Rising, Net Delta +$23.27M.
• Buy/Sell Ratio: 51.5% / 48.5%.
• CVD Divergence: “Consistent” (no flagged divergence).

1D Orderflow:

• CVD Trend: Falling, Net Delta -$32.89M.
• Buy/Sell Ratio: 48.7% / 51.3%.
• CVD Divergence: Bearish (Price Up, CVD Down – Exhaustion).
• Divergences: Bearish OBV on 16-07-26.

Open Interest & Funding:

• 4H:
  • OI Change (24h): +0.95%
  • Latest Funding: 0.000048%, Avg: 0.000035%
  • Market State: Neutral
• 1D:
  • OI Change (24h): +0.17%
  • Latest Funding: 0.000018%, Avg: 0.000041%
  • Market State: Neutral

Leverage Pressure (LPI):

• MODERATE SHORT LEVERAGE, Value -0.70, Funding 2.8306%, OI Δ 0.25%.

FOP Index & OID:

• FOP Index: Neutral (0.16), with Fund 2.83, OI 0.25%, P 0.96%.
• OID: NEUTRALLVL0 (0.24), Align 0.24.

Correlation:

• BTC Correlation (4H / 1D block):
  • Pearson 0.92, Beta 0.81
  • Expected Move 0.39%, Actual vs Expected +0.77%
  • Lag Signal: JA, Catch-up Probability 92.2%
• Crypto Equity Weight (CEW): 1.00 (CORRELATED).

ETF Flows & Market Breadth

ETH ETF Flows (last 7 entries):

• Positive flows: +58.3M, +49.9M, +36.7M, +37.1M, +18.4M
• Negative flows: -15.4M, -28.0M
• Δ% values show large day-to-day swings, indicating high flow volatility.

Alt Breadth (AB): BULL (1.09, Powerlvl1).
Stablecoin Pressure (SPI): BULL (-1.19).
Dominance Price Conflict (DPC): NEUTRAL (-0.23).

High-Level Takeaway

• ETH trades at $1,922.80 in a consolidation regime with:
  • Short-term uptrend and bullish 4H EMAs
  • Longer-term EMAs still bearish on the daily
  • Rising 4H volatility and volume, while daily volatility has compressed
  • Mixed flow signals: 4H CVD rising, 1D CVD falling with bearish divergence, plus bearish OBV divergence
  • Neutral derivatives conditions (OI/Funding, FOP, OID) with moderate short leverage in LPI
  • Strong correlation to BTC (0.92) and equities (CEW 1.00)
  • ETF flows net positive on more days than negative, with high variability

This snapshot describes an ETH market that is active, structurally constructive on lower timeframes, still corrective on higher EMAs, and internally mixed in flow and divergence metrics, all within a risk-on but consolidating macro environment.