Americans vote in the midterm elections on Tuesday with President Donald Trump’s approval rating at about 32%, according to polling summarised in the 10 Things Global News briefing of 3 November. That is just above his recent record low of 31%. A nationwide poll put Democrats ahead of Republicans on the generic ballot by 46% to 38%, down from an 11-point lead a week earlier.
Living costs dominate the survey results. About 78% of voters named rising costs as a major issue, and Democrats led Republicans 43% to 32% on handling them. Among independent registered voters, half said their congressional vote would be against Trump, versus 13% who said it would support him. Separate Senate polling reportedly had Democrats ahead in five states, with Alaska and Iowa tied.
The money behind the contest is also at a record. OpenSecrets projects total spending of about $11.9 billion, which would make these the most expensive midterms on record and roughly 30% above 2022. More than $9.5 billion had been spent by mid-October. PACs and super PACs accounted for about $5.5 billion, and the 40 largest donors had contributed about $2.4 billion. Elon Musk is the largest individual donor, having given nearly $500 million to Republican-aligned groups, according to the briefing.
Spending is concentrated in Ohio, Texas and Michigan, with the Texas Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico drawing particularly heavy outlays. Polls measure sentiment, not results.
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