Bitcoin is on course for back-to-back losing Octobers for the first time in more than a decade, according to CoinGlass data. As of October 17 it was down about 2.5% for the month, after October 2025 closed about 3.7% lower. Since then it has slipped further and trades near $81,000.
October has historically been one of bitcoin’s strongest months, with an average return of about 18.3% and a median of about 12.7%. Before last year, the month had closed lower only in 2014 and 2018, and between 2016 and 2024 only 2018 finished in the red.
Last October is a reminder of how fast sentiment can flip. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of about $126,000 early in the month, and a crash on October 10 erased those gains. This year the price climbed into October from the $60,000s instead of falling from a record, which Bankless co-founders argue looks more like an early bull market than a late-cycle top.
Mid-month, bitcoin dipped to about $80,000, its lowest since September 18, and Ethereum fell about 7.5% in a week, showing that altcoins are taking larger swings. With the Fed meeting on October 27-28 just before month-end, the policy decision could shape the final monthly close.
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