周三下午,布伦特原油下跌9.2%,Crypto Insiders称其价格约为每桶84欧元,为近一个月以来的最低水平。CoinDesk的实时报道称跌幅近9%,至约95美元。周一,由于对美伊会谈持谨慎乐观态度,油价已下跌逾4%,当时布伦特仍高于96欧元。
更大幅度的下跌发生在美国中期选举之后,民主党在众议院和参议院均取得多数。据报道,副总统JD Vance将共和党的失利部分归咎于伊朗战争,总统唐纳德·特朗普也承认战争起到了作用。据Crypto Insiders引用的美联社报道,民主党将于1月3日掌控国会,而特朗普仍是总统,并决定军事政策。
目前仍未达成和平协议,霍尔木兹海峡是主要风险。新的军事消息可能迅速推高价格。对市场而言,油价走低可降低运输和能源成本、缓解通胀,从而减少加息的必要。Crypto Insiders指出,较低的市场利率和走弱的美元也推动了这一走势。
这一连串影响有助于解释为何风险资产与油价下跌同步上涨:10年期美国国债收益率跌破4.9%,美国股市大涨,比特币回升至80,000美元上方。
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来源:
Crypto Insiders: Olieprijs zakt bijna 10 procent door nieuwe hoop op vrede
CoinDesk: Live updates, Bitcoin back above $80,000 as markets rally after Democratic sweep
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