11月4日星期三凌晨,随着美国中期选举结果显示民主党将横扫国会,比特币跌至略低于76,000美元,随后V型反弹至约78,300美元。CoinDesk称隔夜低点接近75,700美元,而据Crypto Insiders统计,到欧洲早盘时比特币已从该低点反弹超过3%。
交易员普遍将此次反弹归因于政治不确定性的消除,而非选举结果本身。TDX Strategies创始人Dick Lo表示:“比特币最初因民主党在中期选举中大获全胜而下跌,但随着明确的结果消除了政治不确定性,价格已经回升。”Paradigm的Nicolas Quatravaux指出,Polymarket在一段时间内一直将民主党获胜的概率定价在75%以上,而选举日当天成交的比特币期权大宗交易名义价值约为6.6亿美元,是前一天的两倍多。
10x Research的Markus Thielen认为比特币已处于超卖状态,并将82,000美元定为下一个目标,而Bitget Wallet的Lacie Zhang表示,趋势仍在80,000至82,000美元的阻力位下方盘整。资金流向依然构成阻力:据CoinDesk援引的SoSoValue数据,美国现货比特币ETF在10月份流出5.15亿美元,11月前两个交易日的流出规模也大致相当。
周三晚些时候,交易员将迎来ADP就业报告和ISM服务业指数,随后是周五公布的美国官方就业报告。
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来源:
CoinDesk: Bitcoin surges to $78,300 in V-shaped comeback as midterm election uncertainty fades
CoinDesk: Bitcoin briefly sinks to $75,700 as bets on a Democratic sweep rattle markets
Crypto Insiders: Bitcoin veert snel op na scherpe nachtelijke duik
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