据英国央行官方网站称,该行于11月5日将基准利率上调0.25个百分点至4%。9月份该行曾将利率维持在3.75%。对加密货币交易者来说,此举提醒人们,持续的通胀会使利率预期居高不下,而这往往会拖累比特币等投机性资产。这种联系属于市场评论,而非英国央行得出的结论。
据Stockpil的一篇报道,货币政策委员会以8比1的投票结果通过决议,Catherine Mann投了反对票,主张加息半个百分点至4.25%。同一报道称,英国9月份消费者价格通胀率为3.5%,央行预计明年年中将接近5%。这些数字来自二手来源,未在央行页面上得到证实,该页面也没有说明投票比例。
Stockpil还引述行长Andrew Bailey的话说,如果在解决中东冲突方面没有取得实质性进展,能源价格以及因此带来的通胀风险将偏向上行。报道称,他认为有理由再加息一次,随后采取更具条件性的做法。在决议公布之前,市场已对加息给出了超过99%的定价;据CNBC转述的LSEG数据,交易员认为12月再次加息的可能性约为四分之一。
关于市场认为加息概率为77%的说法,在所查阅的任何来源中都无法得到验证,因此此处未予收录。
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来源:
Bank of England: Interest rates and Bank Rate, our latest decision
Stockpil: Bank of England lifts Bank Rate to 4% in first hike since 2023
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