10月27日,随着美联储开始为期两天的会议,比特币交易价略低于$80,000,盘中一度跌至约$79,700。利率决议将于10月28日星期三公布,ChainThink引用的CME FedWatch数据显示,维持利率不变的概率接近90%。CoinDesk指出,比特币已跌破50日均线,分析师将$80,000视为关键支撑,若跌破,下一个位置分别是$75,000和$73,000。
期权交易者的态度偏向防御。过去24小时交易最活跃的比特币期权是12月25日到期的$72,000看跌期权,各到期日的25-delta看跌/看涨偏斜均保持为正。Derive的定价显示,到本周五到期时,价格向任一方向波动的幅度约为3%。
长期图景则喜忧参半。CryptoQuant表示,持有18个月或更长时间未动的比特币占已实现市值的26.59%,低于9月中旬的26.98%,这种模式过去曾出现在多轮上涨之前,该机构称当前市场处于牛市周期的早期阶段。Galaxy Digital则认为熊市已于6月结束,并表示若价格持续跌破$76,540,这一观点将受到削弱。Strategy上周没有购买比特币,并花费2.049亿美元回购优先股,而Strive增持了6,182枚BTC。
据CoinGape报道,现货比特币ETF周一净流入1.103亿美元,全部来自贝莱德的IBIT,而此前周四和周五的净流出为7.735亿美元。加密货币市场也落后于亚洲科技股的上涨。CoinGape列出的阻力位为$80,000、$83,400和$87,400。这是新闻,不构成投资建议。
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来源:
- CoinDesk: Bitcoin shows signs of weakness while Ripple’s bank win fails to bolster XRP
- CoinDesk: Live news, Bitcoin dips below $80,000 as stocks rally following Anthropic IPO filing
- Cointelegraph: Analysis sees new Bitcoin bull market as older coins’ realized cap share drops
- KuCoin News (ChainThink): Bitcoin falls below $80,000 ahead of Fed decision, put options remain dominant
- CoinGape: FOMC decision tomorrow, will Bitcoin and Ethereum price rally
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